Description
- Overview:
- Students build a formal understanding of probability, considering complex events such as unions, intersections, and complements as well as the concept of independence and conditional probability. The idea of using a smooth curve to model a data distribution is introduced along with using tables and technology to find areas under a normal curve. Students make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies. Data is used from random samples to estimate a population mean or proportion. Students calculate margin of error and interpret it in context. Given data from a statistical experiment, students use simulation to create a randomization distribution and use it to determine if there is a significant difference between two treatments.
Find the rest of the EngageNY Mathematics resources at https://archive.org/details/engageny-mathematics.
- Subject:
- Algebra
- Level:
- High School
- Material Type:
- Module
- Provider:
- New York State Education Department
- Provider Set:
- EngageNY
- Date Added:
- 03/24/2016
- License:
-
Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial Share Alike
- Language:
- English
- Media Format:
- Text/HTML
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Standards
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability
Standard: Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events ("or,"ť "and,"ť "not"ť).*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability
Standard: Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities, and use this characterization to determine if they are independent.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability
Standard: Understand the conditional probability of A given B as P(A and B)/P(B), and interpret independence of A and B as saying that the conditional probability of A given B is the same as the probability of A, and the conditional probability of B given A is the same as the probability of B.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability
Standard: Construct and interpret two-way frequency tables of data when two categories are associated with each object being classified. Use the two-way table as a sample space to decide if events are independent and to approximate conditional probabilities. For example, collect data from a random sample of students in your school on their favorite subject among math, science, and English. Estimate the probability that a randomly selected student from your school will favor science given that the student is in tenth grade. Do the same for other subjects and compare the results.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability
Standard: Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations. For example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability
Standard: Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B's outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability
Standard: Apply the Addition Rule, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions
Standard: Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions
Standard: Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. For example, a model says a spinning coin falls heads up with probability 0. 5. Would a result of 5 tails in a row cause you to question the model?*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions
Standard: Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions
Standard: Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions
Standard: Use data from a randomized experiment to compare two treatments; use simulations to decide if differences between parameters are significant.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions
Standard: Evaluate reports based on data.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Learning Domain: Statistics and Probability: Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data
Standard: Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Summarize, represent, and interpret data on a single count or measurement variable
Standard: Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments
Standard: Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments
Standard: Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. For example, a model says a spinning coin falls heads up with probability 0. 5. Would a result of 5 tails in a row cause you to question the model?*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies
Standard: Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies
Standard: Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies
Standard: Use data from a randomized experiment to compare two treatments; use simulations to decide if differences between parameters are significant.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies
Standard: Evaluate reports based on data.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Understand independence and conditional probability and use them to interpret data
Standard: Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events (“or,” “and,” “not”).*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Understand independence and conditional probability and use them to interpret data
Standard: Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities, and use this characterization to determine if they are independent.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Understand independence and conditional probability and use them to interpret data
Standard: Understand the conditional probability of A given B as P(A and B)/P(B), and interpret independence of A and B as saying that the conditional probability of A given B is the same as the probability of A, and the conditional probability of B given A is the same as the probability of B.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Understand independence and conditional probability and use them to interpret data
Standard: Construct and interpret two-way frequency tables of data when two categories are associated with each object being classified. Use the two-way table as a sample space to decide if events are independent and to approximate conditional probabilities. For example, collect data from a random sample of students in your school on their favorite subject among math, science, and English. Estimate the probability that a randomly selected student from your school will favor science given that the student is in tenth grade. Do the same for other subjects and compare the results.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Understand independence and conditional probability and use them to interpret data
Standard: Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations. For example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Use the rules of probability to compute probabilities of compound events in a uniform probability model
Standard: Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B’s outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
Cluster: Use the rules of probability to compute probabilities of compound events in a uniform probability model
Standard: Apply the Addition Rule, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model.*
Degree of Alignment: Not Rated (0 users)
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